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Is Fibre Channel doomed?

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Or at least this is what Bob Metcalfe says in an interview. Given the increasing competition between FC and iSCSI, it is not a surprise from the author of Ethernet to see such headlines. Here is a quote: 

"Fibre Channel's doomed," he said in a recent interview with Light Reading TV (LRTV), the new broadband video channel for Byte and Switch's parent publication.

When asked how long it would be before Fibre Channel companies started having a really hard time due to Ethernet's advance, he said: "It'll be over in ten years."

While Metcalfe embraces diversity of transport protocols in areas like mobile computing, he's adamant that Fibre Channel will be outshone by Ethernet's virtues. "The Internet business model, based on a du jour standard based on fierce competition, based on a market ethic of interoperability, based on the market evolution of the product while preserving the installed base: That is what Ethernet is, I think."

If you ask my opinion... well, I'm a skeptic, but I would be glad to be proven wrong. Today, FC offers solid performance and scalability, while the fastest iSCSI implementations always seem to lag at around half at the speed of the FC counterparts. 

That said, I love iSCSI. And I don't think that everybody needs 4 Gbps anyway.

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