Hi Ben,
You need to open a support case to get this resolved. Since you have capacity reservation it should not be failing due to lack of capacity. That's the whole point of capacity reservation. You are entitled to SLA credits based on your description.
Unfortunately, you need to have at minimum Developer level support ($29/month) in order to open technical support case, and Developer only allows Severity C cases via email. Standard level ($100/month) is recommended minimum for Production since it allows Severity A/B/C via phone/email.
Whether you choose Developer or Standard you could cancel it later so that you only pay for one month. You can use below link if you need to upgrade your support plan:
https://portal.azure.com/#view/Microsoft_Azure_Support/SupportPlansBlade/subscriptionId/
It can be tricky to open a support case so please add a comment below if run into a problem.
Please click Accept Answer and upvote if the above was helpful.
Thanks.
-TP